The likelihood of impacting the weak layer is very gradually decreasing, thanks to the stiffness of the slab above it, but this layer of weak snow is showing little signs of healing.
Calm until the late afternoon, then winds picking up out of the W/NW. Overcast skies throughout the afternoon. No precip.
# | Date | Location | Size | Type | Bed Sfc | Depth | Trigger | Photos | Details |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 |
Dec 14, 2021 (+/- 1 day) |
Baker Creek NE 9500ft |
D2 | N-Natural | Report | ||||
10 |
Dec 14, 2021 (+/- 1 day) |
Baker Creek NE 9000ft |
D1.5 | N-Natural | Report |
Dug at 9,000' on N aspect where HS=125-130cm. The slab here is 80-85cm thick, F- at the top grading to 1F at the base. Below this I found a few iterations of subtle crusts and ugly facets, the worst of which are ~10cm below the base of the slab. Here, grains are up to 4mm in size and are cupped and striated. This layer produced ECTP 15 and 21 and CPST 18/100 END. The slab of new snow has settled and gained enough strength to keep you off the ground and above the weak layer, even on the sled. Because of this, likelihood of triggering is very gradually decreasing. However, my unstable snowpack test scores, the collapses I experienced, and the appearance of these grains indicate that this layer is healing quite slowly.
On solar aspects at middle and lower elevations, the weak snow described above does not exist. Here, the entire snowpack (HS=65-70cm) was deposited in the past week. It is hard to imagine an avalanche occurring in a snowpack that looks like this in the absence of wind loading.
A note about surfaces: I observed very similar radiation recrystallization crusts in the Baker drainage as those I observed the previous afternoon in the Durance area. The distribution was similar: SSE-WSW on slopes that were steeper than ~32 degrees. If this ends up being a player (seems fairly likely, at least in the short term, if we throw a quick 1" of SWE on it) the very specific distribution will be tricky to deal with. Due to the very low sun angle right now, this crust doesn't exist until the slope steepens into/above the low 30s... prime-time avalanche terrain.
Problem | Location | Distribution | Sensitivity | Size | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Persistent Slab |
|
Weak Layer(s):
Dec 11, 2021 (FC)
Comments: Shaded based on where problem is known to exist. |